Day: April 15, 2024

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Renowned Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff recently forecasted a potential downturn in BTC’s price to $20K, accompanied by a caution about MicroStrategy’s holdings. Schiff emphasized the significance of Bitcoin’s $60K support level, hinting at a possible “triple top” pattern.

Expressing concerns, Schiff suggested that a dip below the $60K mark might trigger a substantial decline, potentially leading to a significant drop to $20K. He also underscored the potential impact on MicroStrategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, which could face an estimated $2.7 billion unrealized loss if prices plummet.

MicroStrategy currently holds approximately 214,000 BTC, acquired at an average price of $34K. Despite potential losses during bearish markets, CEO Michael Saylor remains bullish on Bitcoin, advocating for a long-term investment strategy.

This isn’t the first time Schiff has targeted MicroStrategy over crypto market uncertainties. In March, he criticized the company’s $623 million BTC acquisition, warning of potential losses at a $20K Bitcoin price.

However, Schiff’s projections of a $20K price seem unlikely based on current market trends and technical analysis. Bitcoin’s 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages could offer significant support at $63,128 and $47,900, respectively. A sustained level above these EMAs might negate Schiff’s forecast.

Despite Schiff’s consistent skepticism, Bitcoin has defied previous doomsday predictions. The recent projection coincided with geopolitical tensions, but historical parallels and market rebound trends suggest a potential recovery.

Critics within the crypto community, like Stephan Livera, dismiss Schiff’s analysis as lacking substance and relevance, highlighting ongoing debates around Bitcoin’s future trajectory amidst varying viewpoints.

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Adidas and the crypto fitness app Stepn have joined forces, marking the beginning of a collaboration set to encompass both NFTs and physical merchandise. The partnership’s inaugural offering will be an NFT collection, with plans for tangible products in the pipeline, as per Stepn’s announcement.

The collaboration will commence with the Stepn x Adidas Genesis Sneakers collection, featuring 1,000 NFTs inspired by some of Adidas’s most renowned running silhouettes. Stepn stated that this initial Genesis collection marks the start of a year-long partnership, with further NFT drops and wearable items slated for release.

Scheduled for release later this week on April 17, the NFT collection will be available via Stepn’s affiliated non-fungible token marketplace, Mooar. Adidas has previously engaged in crypto-related partnerships with platforms such as Coinbase, Bored Ape Yacht Club, and Bugatti.

Stepn, recognized as a move-to-earn web3 app rewarding users for physical activity, boasts a user base of 5 million. This collaboration echoes Stepn’s past partnership with Asics in 2022.

Shiti Manghani, CEO of Stepn, emphasized the significance of bridging the physical and digital realms through partnerships like this, describing the alliance between Stepn and Adidas as a testament to the evolving landscape of lifestyle rewards.

In a recent development, Stepn conducted an airdrop of bonus points totaling $30 million worth of GMT tokens, further enhancing its engagement with users.

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EigenLayer recently unveiled its presence on the Ethereum mainnet, marking a significant development in the Ethereum ecosystem. One of the primary avenues to participate in EigenLayer involves contributing to the security of Ethereum and amplifying interest in staking activities. Staking on Ethereum has gained considerable momentum, particularly with the surge in popularity of restaking methods, as discussed in recent discussions.

In a noteworthy update, EigenLayer made its debut on the Ethereum mainnet, introducing its EigenDA data availability layer. Notable operators such as Coinbase Cloud and Google Cloud have joined as the protocol’s initial participants. Additionally, EigenLayer revealed six actively validated services that would benefit from its restaking mechanism, reinforcing its position in the ecosystem.

This launch enables restakers on the platform to earn an additional yield on their staked ETH, a feature previously unavailable. Many users had initially deposited ETH into the protocol in anticipation of higher yields and speculated on potential airdrops as EigenLayer allocated restaking points.

Accessing EigenLayer necessitates staking ETH, either by setting up a validator or utilizing a liquid staking protocol to acquire staking derivative tokens. Liquid staking tokens (LST) offer holders liquidity and can be obtained by depositing into designated protocols or through direct purchase.

The surge in new validators underscores the increasing interest in contributing to Ethereum’s security through EigenLayer. Notably, Ethereum transitioned to Proof-of-Stake with The Merge in September 2022, allowing individuals to operate validators on the Beaconchain alongside the mainnet. Staking gained substantial traction following the Shapella upgrade in April 2023, which introduced the ability to withdraw staked ETH, enhancing user confidence in the security of their funds.

At its peak in June 2023, the validator queue reached 96,000, prompting measures to maintain network stability. However, the queue gradually subsided, remaining below 10,000 from October 2023 to March of the following year. The resurgence of interest in restaking has propelled the validator entry queue to 20,000, reflecting robust demand to fortify the Ethereum network.

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Following a volatile weekend, both Bitcoin and altcoins continue to face downward pressure, with Bitcoin retreating to the $64,000 level after an initial bounce on Monday.

Ether Struggles to Maintain Momentum

Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency, hovers just above the $3,100 mark, showing signs of struggle in retaining gains made since the market’s panicky selloff on Saturday. Despite being up 4% over the past 24 hours, ETH remains lower by about 4% since briefly reaching nearly $3,300 earlier on Monday, fueled by unconfirmed reports of Hong Kong-based spot Bitcoin and Ether ETF approvals.

Bitcoin and Altcoins Face Renewed Downside Pressure

Bitcoin (BTC) also experiences renewed downside pressure, modestly lower over the past 24 hours to $64,200 after nearly reaching $67,000 earlier on Monday. The broader CoinDesk 20 Index reflects a 0.68% increase over the same period.

Solana (SOL) sees a significant reversal of its overnight gains, dropping to around $140 from highs of $155 early Monday morning and $175 reached on Friday.

Geopolitical Tensions Influence Market Sentiment

The crypto market plunged over the weekend as geopolitical tensions escalated, with Bitcoin dropping to the $61,000 area and Ether below $3,000 following Iran’s bombing campaign on Israel. Despite initial turmoil, some stability returned over the weekend.

Market Response and Outlook

Trading house QCP Capital notes that historically, buying the dip during major geopolitical conflicts has been profitable. Ed Goh, head of trading at B2C2, reports consistent buying in BTC, particularly during the weekend dip, with a notable bias towards purchasing altcoins.

As Bitcoin’s halving event approaches on April 19, traders anticipate a potential short-term “sell the news” reaction before and after the event.

Altcoins Show Mixed Performance

Despite setbacks in the broader market, some altcoins continue to see significant gains on Monday. Ondo Finance (ONDO) is up 15% over the past 24 hours, while Render’s RNDR and The Graph (GRT) rose by 12% and 9%, respectively.

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MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR), valued at $25 billion by market cap, specializes in enterprise analytics and mobility software solutions. Despite its software-focused core, the company has made significant investments in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) over the past four years under the guidance of Executive Chairman Michael Saylor.

Saylor initiated MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin investment journey in 2020 with a purchase of $250 million worth of Bitcoin, citing its potential as a store of value with long-term capital appreciation prospects. Currently, MicroStrategy holds 214,246 BTC, valued at over $14 billion, linking its stock price closely to Bitcoin’s performance.

MicroStrategy Funds BTC Via Debt And Equity

While MicroStrategy’s core software business has shown modest revenue growth, its operating income remains comparatively low. To finance its substantial Bitcoin investments, the company has raised debt, increasing its net debt to $2.1 billion in 2023 from $531 million in 2020. Additionally, MicroStrategy has issued equity, nearly doubling its outstanding share count since August 2020, thus diluting shareholder wealth.

Will BTC Prices Move Higher?

Bitcoin has witnessed a remarkable rally, soaring approximately 300% since the beginning of 2023. The recent pullback from its all-time high of $73,000 raises questions about its future trajectory. Factors such as the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs and the upcoming “halving” event, which historically has driven price surges, contribute to market sentiment.

What Is The Target Price For MSTR Stock?

Analysts unanimously rate MSTR stock as a “strong buy,” with a mean price target of $1,733.35, suggesting a 17.2% upside potential. Despite anticipated volatility, investing in MSTR could be favorable for those anticipating BTC price appreciation in the next 18 months.

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The United Kingdom is gearing up to introduce fresh legislation on crypto staking and stablecoins by July this year, as announced by Economic Secretary Bim Afolami during the Innovate Finance Global Summit in London on Monday.

UK Stablecoin And Crypto Staking Legislation 

Afolami stated that they are currently working diligently to finalize the legislation required to implement their regulatory regime. Once enacted, various crypto asset activities, such as operating an exchange and holding customers’ assets, will fall under regulatory oversight for the first time.

The forthcoming legislation follows the UK government’s unveiling of plans for revised stablecoin regulation in October 2023. The aim is to reduce the risk of customer harm and address the conduct, prudential, and financial stability risks associated with stablecoins.

However, the current Conservative-led government faces an upcoming election later this year, potentially impacting its long-term financial regulation plans in the crypto sector. The UK’s Labour Party maintains a solid lead over the reigning conservative party, with April 2024 polls showing a 65% disapproval rating of Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, a staunch cryptocurrency supporter.

The UK government has demonstrated agility in introducing several policies on the crypto industry in recent years, including passing the Financial Services and Markets Bill (FMSB) in June 2023. According to a statement by the UK’s Payment Service Regulator (PSR), the act makes “absolutely clear that a payment system handling stablecoins can be subject to regulation by the PSR.”

In March, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) unveiled plans to combat market abuse in the cryptocurrency sector by enhancing market monitoring capabilities and developing advanced analytics systems.

The UK government’s latest digital asset-related regulation coincides with efforts by US lawmakers to push for similar stablecoin legislation. Representatives Maxine Waters (D-CA) and Patrick McHenry (R-NC) are leading legislative endeavors stateside, potentially attaching stablecoin concerns to a larger, unrelated bill to secure bipartisan support.

Uncertainty looms over whether they can successfully pass legislation before the November US presidential election.

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Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable resilience compared to the broader digital assets market, maintaining a dominance metric of 55.3%, marking its highest level since April 2021. In a recent note, Matteo Greco, a research analyst at Fineqia International, highlighted that Bitcoin’s market cap dominance has reached a three-year peak, defying recent sell-offs and market fluctuations. Greco also pointed out the sustained robustness in trading volumes.

BTC Spot ETFs recorded a significant weekly trading volume of approximately $16.2 billion, with an average daily volume of around $3.2 billion. Since its inception, the cumulative trading volume stands at approximately $212 billion, with an average daily volume of roughly $3.3 billion.

Bitcoin Ends the Week in Red

Bitcoin closed the week at around $65,650, experiencing a 5.3% decline from the previous week’s closing value of around $69,350. The week was marked by notable volatility, particularly during the weekend, following a period of relative stability from Monday to Thursday. BTC experienced a downturn on Friday, falling to a low of $65,100. The negative trend persisted into Saturday, reaching a weekly low of approximately $60,650 before rebounding and concluding the week around $65,650.

The decline in prices over the weekend was attributed to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. However, market sentiment improved following an announcement of a temporary halt in hostilities among the involved nations. Additionally, the upcoming halving, scheduled for the night between April 19th and 20th, has garnered attention. Historically, previous halving events have been followed by 9-12 months of upward trends, albeit triggering short-term “sell the news” reactions before and after the event.

The short-term bearish sentiment is further reflected in the net outflow of $85 million from Bitcoin Spot ETFs during the week. Investors are exercising caution and engaging in profit-taking following the strong uptrend witnessed in Q4 2023 and Q1 2024.

US Inflation Data Surpasses Expectations

On the macroeconomic front, recent US inflation data exceeded expectations, prompting a revision in market participants’ rate cut projections for 2024. At first, projections suggested a decrease of at least 75 basis points in interest rates, equating to three 25-basis-point cuts. However, the latest data has shifted projections to anticipate 25/50 basis points cuts during the year, with the first cut expected in Q3 and a potential second cut towards year-end.

Greco highlighted the potential for a prolonged period of stricter monetary policy due to persistently high inflation levels exceeding central banks’ targets. He further suggested that this scenario could exacerbate short-term difficulties for risk-on assets, prompting investors to adjust their portfolios based on revised mid-term expectations influenced by current financial indicators.

Over the past week, digital asset investment products saw a slight decrease in funds, with outflows totaling $126 million. Bitcoin saw outflows amounting to $110 million, yet it managed to maintain positive inflows of $555 million month-to-date. Short-bitcoin, which had been witnessing outflows for the past three weeks, observed minor inflows of $1.7 million, likely taking advantage of the recent price weakness.

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Despite recent sell-offs across the digital assets market, Bitcoin has displayed remarkable resilience, maintaining a dominance metric of 55.3%, its highest level since April 2021, according to a note from Matteo Greco, a research analyst at digital asset investment firm Fineqia International.

Greco highlighted that Bitcoin’s market cap dominance has reached a three-year high despite market volatility, with trading volumes remaining robust. BTC Spot ETFs recorded a weekly trading volume of approximately $16.2 billion, with an average daily volume of around $3.2 billion. Since inception, cumulative trading volume stands at approximately $212 billion, with an average daily volume of roughly $3.3 billion.

Bitcoin Sees Weekly Decline

Ending the week at around $65,650, Bitcoin experienced a 5.3% decline from the previous week’s closing value of around $69,350. The week saw significant volatility, particularly during the weekend, following a period of relative stability from Monday to Thursday.

On Friday, Bitcoin faced a downturn, dropping to a low of $65,100. The negative trend continued into Saturday, hitting a weekly low of approximately $60,650 before rebounding and concluding the week around $65,650.

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East were cited as the cause of the weekend’s price drop. However, market sentiment improved after an announcement of a temporary halt in hostilities among the involved nations. Additionally, attention was drawn to the upcoming halving scheduled for the night between April 19th and 20th, which historically triggers short-term “sell the news” reactions.

US Inflation Data Surpasses Expectations

Recent US inflation data surpassed expectations, leading to a revision in market participants’ rate cut projections for 2024. Initial expectations included a reduction of at least 75 basis points in interest rates. However, the latest data has shifted projections to anticipate 25/50 basis points cuts during the year, with the first cut expected in Q3 and a potential second cut towards year-end.

Greco highlighted that the continued presence of inflation levels surpassing central banks’ targets might result in a prolonged period of tighter monetary policy, contributing to short-term challenges faced by risk-on assets as investors realign their portfolios.

Digital asset investment products witnessed minor outflows amounting to $126 million in the past week, with Bitcoin experiencing outflows of $110 million but maintaining positive inflows of $555 million month-to-date. Short-bitcoin, which had been witnessing outflows for the past three weeks, saw minor inflows of $1.7 million, likely capitalizing on the recent price weakness.

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