Day: April 19, 2024

Pre-Halving Market Volatility Spurs Crypto Liquidations

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Market volatility has led to over $152 million in cryptocurrency liquidations over the past day, with the wider cryptocurrency market witnessing over $290 million in liquidations within the same period. Of these liquidations, approximately $154 million were from long positions.

Bitcoin’s liquidations soared to over $108 million as the asset dipped below the $60,000 mark before rebounding. Presently, it struggles to maintain its position above $64,000. Coinglass data reveals that liquidations were almost evenly split between bitcoin longs and shorts, totaling just over $54 million and $53 million, respectively.

The largest digital asset by market capitalization increased by around 5.3% in the past 24 hours, trading at $64,739 at 5:22 a.m. ET, according to The Block’s Price Page. The GM 30 Index, representing a selection of the top 30 cryptocurrencies, rose by 4.46% to 129.97 in the same period.

According to The Block’s halving countdown, Bitcoin’s upcoming halving event, where the miners’ block subsidy reward gets halved, is less than 100 blocks away. Analysts from 21Shares suggested that Bitcoin may continue in a lateral movement until geopolitical concerns, such as conflicts in the Middle East and control of oil transportation routes, stabilize.

The analysts observed that if geopolitical risks stabilize, bitcoin is expected to continue its upward trend post-halving. This is anticipated to be supported by increasing institutional interest in digital assets, particularly driven by U.S. spots and recently approved Hong Kong ETFs.

Coinbase analyst David Han emphasized the impact of macroeconomic factors, particularly heightened geopolitical tensions, on short-term crypto activity. “The recent elevated correlation of altcoins against bitcoin underlines this, indicating bitcoin’s anchor role in the space even as it firms its position as a macro asset,” Han stated in this week’s Coinbase Monthly Outlook report.

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Tether Expands Dollar, Gold Stablecoins to Boost Telegram Payments

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Tether announced its intention to enhance peer-to-peer payments on Telegram by extending its dollar-pegged USDT and gold-backed XAUT tokens to the TON network, catering to Telegram’s vast user base 900 million.

Originally initiated by Telegram, the TON network has experienced rapid expansion, fueled by incentives to onboard Telegram users. Tether, the entity behind the $108 billion market cap USDT, disclosed plans to integrate the dollar-pegged stablecoin and its gold-backed counterpart XAUT natively on The Open Network (TON), a blockchain closely associated with the messaging app Telegram.

Tether’s transparency page revealed that $10 million worth of USDT has been authorized on the TON blockchain, with $3 million already issued. This strategic move aims to facilitate “borderless, peer-to-peer payments” among Telegram’s extensive user base and bolster the burgeoning TON ecosystem, enabling users to leverage the stablecoins in decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.

Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether, emphasized the significance of this expansion, stating that the launch of USDT and XAUT on TON would enable seamless value transfer. This move aims to increase activity and liquidity while offering users a financial experience akin to those found in the traditional financial system.

The Open Network operates as a decentralized layer-1 network initially spearheaded by Telegram but operating independently due to regulatory concerns. Recent months have witnessed a surge in TON’s ecosystem, propelled by incentives for Telegram user adoption, with monthly active addresses surpassing 1.7 million from less than 100,000 six months ago.

Despite a momentary dip of up to 15% in the TON token following the announcement, it remains up 7% over the past 24 hours and has tripled in price this year, amassing a market capitalization of nearly $25 billion. Telegram’s crypto wallet supports various blockchains for deposits and withdrawals, with trading fees substantially reduced to encourage TON adoption.

Ramp Network, a fintech firm bridging crypto with traditional banking infrastructure, announced plans to facilitate purchases and withdrawals of USDT on TON following the announcement. Starting with fiat-to-USDT on TON on its platform, Ramp Network intends to integrate with third-party wallets supporting TON-based assets and later incorporate off-ramp capabilities.

Szymon Sypniewicz, CEO of Ramp Network, articulated the company’s vision, stating, “Crypto transactions should be as simple as texting,” underscoring the potential to enhance the lives of millions within the TON ecosystem through accessible, low-cost crypto transactions.

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Bitcoin Whales Increase Holdings with $1.2B Purchase During Dip

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As Bitcoin experienced a dip below $60,000, significant investors seized the opportunity, fueling a rapid market rebound. According to IntoTheBlock, large holders, known as whales, increased their BTC holdings by 19,760 coins, valued at over $1.2 billion, at an average price of $62,500 on Friday.

Whales, influential players in the crypto market, are closely watched for their buying and selling patterns, often signaling market movements. Their accumulation during dips historically precedes price surges, suggesting a bullish sentiment.

This surge in whale activity contrasts with earlier in the week when investors hesitated to capitalize on market weakness. The subsequent rebound past $65,000, following airstrikes in Iran, was partly attributed to spot BTC buyers.

Bitcoin’s consolidation around $60,000 comes ahead of its halving event on April 20, reducing miner rewards and curbing token issuance. Despite uncertainties, opportunistic buying between $60,000-$62,000 levels indicates underlying market support.

David Han from Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN)Institutional notes the dual role of Bitcoin as both a risk asset and a safe haven, contributing to directional uncertainty amid market fluctuations.

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Donald Trump’s Crypto Holdings Take a Hit: Will He Cash Out?

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Although former President Donald Trump is better known for various endeavors, his involvement in the world of cryptocurrency has remained somewhat under the radar.

Recent revelations have shed light on Trump’s crypto portfolio, providing insight into his digital assets.

Using blockchain analytics, Arkham Intelligence has identified Trump’s wallet address by cross-referencing his financial disclosures. This analysis has unveiled not only Trump’s holdings but also those of various other entities, ranging from Tesla Inc. to Snoop Dogg.

Trump entered the cryptocurrency sphere in late 2022 when his name and likeness were utilized to promote and sell the Trump Digital Trading Cards non-fungible token (NFT) collection. This venture yielded Trump over 1,700 Ethereum (ETH) and Wrapped ETH (WETH) tokens.

In late 2023, Trump liquidated a portion of his ETH holdings, transferring 1,075 ETH to Coinbase, likely for sale.

However, Trump’s most significant crypto investment lies in MAGA Coin (TRUMP), a meme coin endorsing the former president. Initially, 580,000 TRUMP tokens were sent to Trump’s wallet, which, at the time, were worth a modest sum. Yet, the value of TRUMP has surged dramatically in 2024, driven by meme coin frenzy and increased media attention on Trump.

TRUMP’s price skyrocketed from less than 1 cent shortly after launch to an all-time high of $11.56 within six months, representing a staggering price increase of nearly 150,000%. Consequently, Trump’s TRUMP tokens, initially worth a few thousand dollars, ballooned into a small fortune, reaching highs of over $6.7 million before settling around $3 million.

However, recent market fluctuations have taken their toll on Trump’s crypto portfolio. Over the past week, TRUMP has experienced a significant decline of over 15%, while ETH has also dipped by approximately 12%. As a result, Trump’s holdings have plummeted by over $1 million in just seven days.

On April 11, Trump’s crypto portfolio stood at $6.6 million, only to drop to $5.4 million by April 16, marking a loss of over $1.2 million, or more than 18%.

These losses raise speculation regarding Trump’s next move. While this downturn may be a temporary setback, it could also signal trouble for the future of the TRUMP coin. Moreover, there is uncertainty regarding Trump’s awareness of his crypto holdings. If Trump perceives a potential decline in the token’s value and is cognizant of his position, he may opt to sell, as he has done previously.

Bitcoin’s Upcoming ‘Halving’: Here’s What You Should Know

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Bitcoin’s forthcoming ‘halving’ is on the horizon, prompting a need-to-know exploration. Here’s a breakdown of what awaits:

What is Bitcoin Halving and Why Is it Significant?

Bitcoin “halving,” occurring approximately every four years, directly affects bitcoin production. Miners, utilizing specialized computers to solve complex mathematical puzzles, receive a fixed number of bitcoins as a reward upon completion.

As the name suggests, halving cuts this fixed income in half, thereby reducing the influx of new bitcoins into the market. Consequently, the supply of available coins grows more gradually, aligning with bitcoin’s fundamental characteristic of limited supply. With only 21 million bitcoins ever to exist and the majority already mined, scarcity becomes a defining feature.

The reduction in supply can potentially drive up bitcoin prices, assuming demand remains steady or increases relative to supply. However, predicting future price movements remains uncertain, as past performance does not guarantee future results.

How Frequently Does Halving Occur?

According to Bitcoin’s code, halving takes place after the creation of every 210,000 “blocks” during the mining process, roughly translating to a four-year interval. The next halving is anticipated to unfold imminently.

Will Halving Impact Bitcoin’s Price?

The impact on bitcoin’s price remains speculative. Historically, following previous halvings, bitcoin’s price experienced mixed short-term reactions, eventually surging significantly one year later. Nonetheless, market conditions beyond halving contribute to these fluctuations.

The current halving arrives on the heels of a bullish year for bitcoin, with prices doubling compared to the previous year. Factors such as the introduction of spot bitcoin ETFs and persistent demand may further influence bitcoin’s trajectory.

What About Miners?

Miners face the challenge of adapting to reduced rewards while managing operational costs. Efficiently prepared miners may weather the transition better, but struggling firms might encounter difficulties.

Consolidation within the mining industry is probable, a trend exacerbated by previous market downturns. Larger miners may expand operations, leveraging technological advancements for efficiency gains.

What About the Environment?

Bitcoin mining’s environmental impact stems largely from energy consumption. While recent trends indicate a shift towards cleaner energy sources, concerns persist regarding reliance on pollutive energy.

The looming halving might incentivize miners to seek cheaper, albeit less environmentally friendly, energy sources. Additionally, some firms may explore low-cost energy regions, potentially deploying inefficient mining rigs.

In essence, Bitcoin’s upcoming halving carries implications for its economy, environment, and industry landscape, yet its exact outcomes remain uncertain amidst the dynamic cryptoverse.

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Bitcoin Bounces Back After Geopolitical Tensions Sparked Losses

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Bitcoin rebounded following a period of heightened geopolitical tension, which initially triggered sharp declines in cryptocurrencies.

The digital asset experienced a temporary drop of over 6% to $59,643 on Friday but later stabilized, reaching $64,640 by 10:55 a.m. in New York. Other tokens like Ether, Solana, and the meme-crowd favorite Dogecoin also regained stability.

Israel’s retaliatory strike on Iran, occurring less than a week after Tehran’s rocket and drone attacks, caused ripples across global markets. Reports indicating the safety of nuclear facilities in Isfahan, Iran, helped alleviate some concerns. Traditional safe-haven assets such as bonds, gold, and the dollar saw reduced gains, while stocks recovered from session lows.

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is overshadowing the anticipated Bitcoin halving scheduled for later on Friday, which will reduce the token’s new supply. Historically, halvings have driven up the price of Bitcoin. However, with Bitcoin reaching a record high in mid-March before the event, there are doubts about whether the expected impact is already factored into the market.

Stefan von Haenisch, head of trading at OSL SG Pte, suggested that continued violence between Israel and Iran could prompt a general risk-off sentiment across the crypto market. Nonetheless, he noted that it might require a substantial downward movement to reverse the bullish sentiment surrounding the halving.

Strategists from JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Deutsche Bank AG have indicated that the quadrennial halving is already largely priced in by investors. Ahead of the event, a series of three-month-old spot-Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the US have recorded five consecutive days of net outflows.

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Bitcoin Steady Amid Geopolitical Tension, Halving Nears

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Bitcoin bounced back from sharp losses triggered by escalating geopolitical tension, regaining ground as the situation eased. After plummeting over 6% to $59,643 earlier on Friday, the digital asset stabilized around $64,450 as of 8:53 a.m. in London. Other cryptocurrencies like Ether, Solana, and Dogecoin also found stability.

Israel’s retaliatory strike on Iran, following Tehran’s recent rocket and drone attacks, rattled global markets. However, reports reassuring the safety of nuclear facilities in Isfahan helped alleviate some concerns. Traditional safe-haven assets like bonds, gold, and the dollar pared gains, while stocks and US equity futures recovered from session lows.

Amidst the Middle East conflict, the spotlight remains on Bitcoin’s halving event scheduled for later on Friday, which will reduce new token supply.

Historically, halvings have driven up the price of Bitcoin. However, this time, Bitcoin hit a record high in mid-March prior to the event, raising questions about whether its potential impact has already been factored into the market.

Stefan von Haenisch, head of trading at OSL SG Pte, noted that ongoing Israel-Iran violence could create a “general risk-off sentiment across crypto.” Nonetheless, he believes it would require a “significant move lower” to reverse the bullish sentiment surrounding the halving.

Analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Deutsche Bank AG have suggested that the quadrennial halving is already largely priced in by investors. Ahead of the event, a group of three-month-old spot-Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the US have witnessed five consecutive days of net outflows.

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