Category: Cryptocurrency

Analysts: Bitcoin Bulls Anticipate Halving Impact in Two Months or More

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Bitcoin’s recent halving, completed on April 19, may not immediately impact market dynamics, with analysts suggesting a potential two-month wait for significant effects. Despite an 8% increase in bitcoin’s spot price since the halving, experts anticipate a delay in supply and demand adjustments.

Analysts at QCP Capital suggest that historical patterns indicate a delay of around two to three months before the halving’s supply constraints translate into notable price movements. This suggests that bitcoin bulls may have additional time to build larger long positions.

Bitfinex analysts highlight the post-halving reduction in bitcoin supply issuance, which could stabilize prices and potentially lead to further appreciation. However, they caution that geopolitical turmoil, particularly in the Middle East, could impact Bitcoin’s long-term valuation.

Additionally, the Bitfinex Alpha report notes potential stabilization in demand from spot bitcoin ETFs, which have been a significant driver of market activity. However, recent outflows from ETFs suggest a possible slowdown in demand.

Meanwhile, QCP Capital analysts anticipate a short squeeze in the altcoin and memecoin market in the short term. Persistent negative funding in these markets, coupled with potential fluctuations in demand, could lead to increased volatility.

While the overall memecoin market has seen a slight uptick in market cap, top memecoins like dogecoin, shiba inu, and dogwifhat have experienced minor declines in the past 24 hours, reflecting ongoing market fluctuations.

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Binance Faces Canadian Lawsuit Over Securities Law Allegations

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Binance, one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges, is embroiled in a new legal battle in Canada as a class-action lawsuit alleges violations of securities laws. Ontario’s Superior Court of Justice published a certification motion for the lawsuit on April 19, reigniting legal scrutiny against the exchange.

The lawsuit accuses Binance of selling cryptocurrency derivative products to retail investors without proper registration, in violation of Ontario Securities Act (OSA) and federal laws. Plaintiffs represented by Christopher Lochan and Jeremy Leeder seek damages and recissions of unlawful derivative trades for Canadian Binance users, numbering in the tens of thousands.

This legal action comes after Binance announced plans to cease operations in Ontario in response to regulatory warnings from the Ontario Securities Commission (OSC) in 2023. Despite this announcement, the OSC’s investigation into Binance remains ongoing, highlighting continued regulatory scrutiny.

The lawsuit further tarnishes Binance’s reputation, already marred by previous controversies, including former CEO Changpeng Zhao’s guilty plea to US anti-money laundering violations in 2021. Although current CEO Richard Teng has made efforts to steer Binance towards regulatory compliance, including securing a Dubai crypto license, the exchange’s past regulatory issues continue to overshadow its progress.

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Over 50% of Pre-Sold Solana Memecoins Abandoned Post $25M Raise

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In the wake of the memecoin frenzy, over $25 million invested in pre-sold Solana memecoins has been left stranded, with more than half of the top projects abandoned within just one month.

ZachXBT’s investigation identified 12 Solana memecoin projects that have been deserted by their founders, leaving investors in the lurch. Solana Co-Founder Anatoly Yakovenko expressed skepticism towards the trend, stating, “Pre-selling a meme doesn’t make any sense to begin with.” Yakovenko previously cautioned against investing in memecoin pre-sales, highlighting the riskiness of such endeavors.

Of the 22 projects initially scrutinized, ZachXBT revealed that 12 have already been deserted within a month. Notable among these are LIKE, MOONKE, FROG, TEMPLE, and SORRY, which collectively raised over $2 million. Other projects, including those like @Jared_eth, raised substantial funds without even launching a token, with one account flagged as compromised by the web3 security platform Pocket Universe.

The memecoin frenzy has now shifted to the Coinbase-backed Base blockchain, indicating a lack of lessons learned from the Solana debacle, according to ZachXBT.

Meanwhile, the price of SOL, Solana’s native token, has witnessed a significant decline since the memecoin boom. Although SOL surged to over $200 during the peak of the frenzy, largely fueled by memecoin speculation, it has since plummeted to $154 as of the latest data. This represents a 23% decrease, despite SOL having already bounced back approximately 30% from its recent low of $117 on April 13.

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Tether Vows to Freeze Sanction-Linked Addresses Amid USDT Scrutiny

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As scrutiny over the misuse of Tether’s USDT stablecoin intensifies, the company pledges to take decisive action against addresses linked to sanctions violations.

Tether, the issuer of the popular USDT stablecoin, has announced its commitment to freezing any addresses associated with sanctioned entities. This proactive stance follows reports indicating the exploitation of USDT tokens by certain state actors to evade US sanctions.

A spokesperson for Tether stated, “Tether respects the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) SDN list and is committed to working to ensure sanction addresses are frozen promptly.”

In the past year, Tether has actively frozen addresses holding substantial amounts of its digital assets involved in illicit activities. For example, the company froze 32 addresses containing $873,118.34 linked to unlawful activities in Israel and Ukraine.

Tether’s CEO, Paolo Ardoino, emphasized that these actions underscore the company’s dedication to establishing robust safety standards within the emerging cryptocurrency industry.

Despite Tether’s compliance efforts, recent reports have highlighted ongoing exploitation of the USDT stablecoin by terrorist groups and sanctioned nations seeking to bypass restrictions. Venezuela’s state-owned oil giant, PDVSA, reportedly utilized USDT for crude oil and fuel exports amid renewed US sanctions. Additionally, Russia has increasingly turned to alternative payment avenues, including Tether’s USDT stablecoin, to evade economic sanctions, according to US Treasury Deputy Secretary Adewale Adeyemo.

A United Nations report also revealed the prevalence of cryptocurrency-based money laundering, with Tether’s USDT on the TRON blockchain being a favored choice, particularly within illegal online gambling platforms.

In response to these developments, US Senator Elizabeth Warren has advocated for stringent regulatory measures, emphasizing the importance of including stablecoin issuers and other decentralized finance (DeFi) intermediaries under anti-money laundering (AML) and combating the financing of terrorism (CFT) requirements in any proposed stablecoin regulations. Excluding such entities, Warren argues, could enable bad actors to exploit the growing crypto trading activities facilitated by the legislation.

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Turnkey Raises $15M Led by Lightspeed Faction & Galaxy Ventures

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Turnkey, a company specializing in building wallet infrastructure for blockchain developers, announced a successful $15 million Series A funding round led by Lightspeed Faction and Galaxy Ventures.

Founded by former Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) employees who contributed to the development of the U.S. crypto exchange’s custody service, Turnkey aims to assist application developers in constructing user-friendly blockchain wallets. The funding round, disclosed on Tuesday, saw participation from notable investors including Sequoia, Coinbase Ventures, Alchemy, Figment Capital, and Mirana Ventures. This round, finalized last October, follows a $7.5 million seed round in 2022.

CEO Bryce Ferguson explained, “At its simplest level, Turnkey provides secure, flexible, and scalable wallet infrastructure, offering developers a comprehensive toolkit for wallet-related tasks and cryptographic transactions.”

Ferguson highlighted the inspiration behind Turnkey’s inception, stemming from the realization at Coinbase that many crypto custodians treated cryptocurrency solely as a “buy-and-hold investment,” lacking the flexibility for users to actively utilize their assets. Turnkey’s objective is to empower custodians with tools enabling end-users to exercise greater control over their assets securely.

Released to the public in August, Turnkey’s product suite caters to various needs, serving as the backbone for applications requiring wallets and transaction signing, both for individual users and businesses. Notable clients include Alchemy, utilizing Turnkey to power its “wallet-as-a-service” offering, and enterprise-focused wallets like Mural, facilitating user-friendly invoicing and global payments.

Turnkey also caters to financial firms, with trading terminals embedding Turnkey’s wallets for transactional purposes. Additionally, individual users leverage Turnkey for broad transaction signing.

Ferguson emphasized Turnkey’s comprehensive approach, stating, “We built all of the wallet infrastructure from the ground up,” highlighting the platform’s ability to generate cryptographic key pairs and provide extensive tooling for accessing and managing these keys.

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Kenya to Extradite Binance Executive Linked to Tax Evasion to Nigeria

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Kenya is preparing to extradite Nadeem Anjarwalla, a Binance executive wanted by Nigerian authorities for alleged involvement in tax evasion and a dramatic escape from custody. Anjarwalla was apprehended in Kenya over the weekend in a joint operation involving several agencies, including the EFCC, Nigeria Police Force, Kenya Police Service, FBI, and INTERPOL, following weeks of search efforts. He is expected to be extradited to Nigeria within the week to face trial on tax evasion charges, with the possibility of additional charges related to illegal passport use and escape from custody.

Anjarwalla, Binance Africa’s regional manager, along with another executive, Tigran Gambrayan, encountered legal issues in Nigeria in February due to their association with the crypto exchange. Anjarwalla evaded custody in March using a Kenyan passport and had been evading authorities until his recent capture.

This development adds to the ongoing tension between Binance and Nigerian authorities. Gambrayan, who has been detained since February, is currently facing trial for alleged tax evasion. However, the proceedings have faced delays, with the court adjourning the case twice due to issues with formally serving charges to the exchange. Binance CEO Richard Teng has expressed willingness to cooperate with Nigerian authorities, but specific efforts to secure the release of the detained executives remain undisclosed.

Similarly, Gambrayan’Kenya to Extradite Binance Executive Linked to Tax Evasion to Nigeria attempts to secure bail have encountered obstacles, with a federal high court in Abuja postponing his bail application hearing. He is presently held at the Kuje Correctional Center pending further legal proceedings.

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Bitcoin Halving Sparks Layer 2 Surge

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Welcome to “Epoch V” of Bitcoin. The fourth successful halving of Bitcoin occurred on April 20, marking a programmed reduction in the amount of new bitcoin entering circulation through mining. As celebrations ensue worldwide, attention turns to what lies ahead.

Coinciding with the halving was the launch of Runes, a protocol facilitating the creation of meme coins on Bitcoin. This launch saw hundreds of tokens introduced, contributing over $80 million in fees to bitcoin miners. This surge in trading activity has driven transaction costs on Bitcoin to over $70 on average, a staggering 1,395.8% increase over the trailing 30-day average, according to TokenTerminal.

Some foresee “Epoch V,” leading up to the next halving in 2028, as the period when Bitcoin layer 2 solutions like the Lightning Network will gain traction. Bitcoin fees hit an all-time high of $128 on April 20, prompting many to explore alternative solutions. Bitcoin Core developer Ava Chow stated, “High fee environments will prompt people to look into them,” referring to Lightning and other layer 2 options.

A recent Messari report emphasized the necessity of layer-2 solutions for Bitcoin amidst rising on-chain activity, signaling a shift from Bitcoin as merely “digital gold” to a platform for innovation.

The launch of the Ordinals protocol last year, enabling new data storage methods on Bitcoin’s smallest units (satoshis), has catalyzed this shift. BitVM allows off-chain computation, Babylon facilitates staking and earning yield on BTC, while layer 2s like Stacks and Merlin host decentralized apps and meme coins.

Post-halving, tokens associated with Bitcoin layer 2s have outperformed BTC. For instance, Elastos  rose 11%, SatoshiVM  climbed 5%, and Stacks  gained nearly 20% to $2.87, partly driven by the anticipated Nakamoto upgrade.

While market dynamics may drive action to Bitcoin’s secondary layers, challenges persist. Higher BTC fees may price out users with low balances from platforms like Lightning, necessitating workarounds such as custodial services. Concerns arise over the erosion of sovereignty and anonymity with custodial Lightning solutions.

This landscape reflects the legacy of the Blocksize Wars, where the decision to prioritize layer 2 scaling over block size increases set Bitcoin’s current trajectory.

As Chow remarks, the choice between block size and transaction size adjustments represents a fundamental divide in Bitcoin’s scaling debate, shaping its evolution to date.

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Thailand to Block Unauthorized Crypto Platforms for Local Users

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In a bid to prevent the illicit use of cryptocurrency for money laundering, Thailand’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced plans to block local access to unauthorized crypto platforms. Investors are urged to withdraw funds from such platforms as authorities move to restrict their operations.

Following a meeting with a government committee on technology-related crimes, the SEC was tasked with identifying and submitting information on unauthorized digital asset service providers to the Ministry of Digital Economy and Society. Once approved by the courts, access to these platforms will be prohibited.

While specific criteria for disqualifying platforms were not disclosed, the SEC provided a verification website to help investors assess legitimacy. Blocking access aligns with efforts to combat criminal activity, drawing parallels with similar actions taken in India and the Philippines.

Previously, the SEC initiated legal proceedings against unauthorized exchanges of Binance and Bybit. The agency emphasizes the risks associated with unregulated operators, highlighting the lack of legal protection and the potential for fraud.

This crackdown follows recent crypto-friendly measures by Thai authorities, including the extension of VAT exemption on crypto trading gains and permission for local institutions to invest in U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds.

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Stablecoin Supply Surges to Near Two-Year High Amid USDe Decline

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The total supply of USD-pegged stablecoins has soared to $165 billion, reaching its highest level in almost two years as new tokens flood the market, intensifying competition. Ethena’s USDe stablecoin, with a market cap of around $2.4 billion, has contributed to this growth, stabilizing the market at its current level.

This milestone, achieved last Thursday, reflects a significant uptick in stablecoin supply since late June 2022, nearing the previous all-time high of over $180 billion. While Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC remain dominant, the stablecoin market is diversifying with new entrants. USDT maintains a commanding 70% market share, according to DeFiLlama data.

The emergence of Ethena’s stablecoin launched just over two months ago, and PayPal’s collaboration with Paxos for its stablecoin introduction in August 2023, have contributed to the expanding stablecoin landscape. Ripple’s recent announcement of its plans to launch a USD-pegged stablecoin further underscores the market’s growth potential. Ripple forecasts the total stablecoin market to skyrocket to $2.8 trillion by 2028.

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Bitcoin Miners Eye AI Amid Post-Halving Shift

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In the wake of the recent Bitcoin halving, miners are contemplating a transition towards artificial intelligence (AI) to potentially boost their revenue streams, according to a report by CoinShares.

The halving event, which occurred recently, is expected to significantly increase costs for miners, with electricity and overall production expenses nearly doubling.

To counter these rising costs, mining companies are exploring the potential of AI operations, leveraging energy-secure locations for potential higher returns. BitDigital (BTBT), Hive (HIVE), Hut 8 (HUT), TeraWulf (WULF), and Core Scientific (CORZ) are among the companies mentioned by CoinShares that are either already generating income from AI or have plans to do so.

The report suggests a trend where Bitcoin mining operations may migrate to stranded energy sites while investment in AI expands in more stable locations.

Pre-halving, the weighted average cash cost of production was approximately $29,500 per Bitcoin. Post-halving, this is projected to rise to about $53,000. Similarly, the average electricity cost of production per Bitcoin is expected to increase from around $16,300 to approximately $34,900.

CoinShares forecasts a potential rise in hash rate to 700 exahash by 2025. However, immediately after the halving, a 10% drop in hashrate is anticipated as miners shut down unprofitable machines. Hash prices are also expected to decline post-halving to $53 per hash/day.

Despite these challenges, miners are actively managing financial liabilities and using excess cash to pay down debt, indicating strategic financial planning amidst changing market dynamics.

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