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Bitcoin’s much-anticipated “halving” event has left little impact on its price trajectory, as market observers point to broader economic factors and geopolitical tensions shaping the cryptocurrency’s movements.
The halving, a fundamental shift in Bitcoin’s technology that reduces the rate of new bitcoin creation, occurred over the weekend. While some enthusiasts anticipated a price surge similar to past halving events, the market response has been muted.
As of Monday afternoon GMT, Bitcoin traded at $66,300, showing modest gains amidst a landscape dominated by geopolitical uncertainties. Mick Roche, a senior trader at Zodia Markets, noted that events like easing tensions between Iran and Israel have exerted more influence on Bitcoin’s price than the halving itself.
Eric Demuth, CEO of Bitpanda, emphasized Bitcoin’s increasing correlation with broader market sentiment, suggesting that retail trading patterns around the halving were not distinctive.
Bitcoin’s resilience is partly attributed to its evolving relationship with traditional markets. Regulatory developments, such as the potential approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the U.S., have bolstered investor confidence and contributed to its recovery from previous downturns.
Looking ahead, Ben Laidler, global markets strategist at eToro, highlighted the trend towards institutional adoption of Bitcoin. While retail investors currently dominate the market, regulatory changes could pave the way for broader institutional involvement.
Despite its growing prominence, cryptocurrencies remain a niche asset class, with regulatory scrutiny and limited real-world utility tempering their mainstream appeal. Market observers are also awaiting regulatory decisions on spot ETFs for Ethereum, though hopes for imminent approval are diminishing.